Stevenage vs Wigan: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Lamex Stadium, Stevenage, Hertfordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Stevenage the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Wigan. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stevenage wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stevenage vs Wigan?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Stevenage (1,942) and Wigan (1,845).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stevenage vs Wigan
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stevenage
4-4-1-1- 9J. Magennis
- 8D. Phillips
- 10D. Kemp
- 18O. Sanderson
- 23L. Thompson
- 27B. Broggio
- 5C. Piergianni
- 2L. James-Wildin
- 15T. Vancooten
- 6L. Freestone
- 1T. Setford
Wigan
4-2-3-1- 9S. Perkins
- 8M. Power
- 6J. Weir
- 10R. Walsh
- 18Charlie Gray
- 7F. Murray
- 5F. Burns
- 23J. Carragher
- 3M. Fox
- 22J. Mellish
- 41J. Whitworth
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stevenage have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Wigan have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Leicester(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Walsall(away) | 6-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Luton(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Barnsley(away) | 5-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | Blackpool(home) | 3-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Wycombe(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 0-4 | League One |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 3-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Stevenage wins, 2 draws, 1 Wigan win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Stevenage 1-0 Wigan | League One |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Wigan 0-0 Stevenage | League One |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Stevenage 1-2 Wigan | League One |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Wigan 0-0 Stevenage | League One |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Wigan 2-3 Stevenage | League One |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Stevenage 1-0 Wigan | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Stevenage score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Wigan score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Wigan | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stevenage sit 13th in League One (9 points from 7 matches) and Wigan sit 24th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Wigan | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 4 |
A question about Stevenage vs Wigan?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stevenage vs Wigan?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stevenage the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Wigan.
- Where and when is Stevenage vs Wigan played?
- Stevenage vs Wigan is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Lamex Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.