Stoke City U21 vs Dinamo Zagreb U21: prediction and stats
Premier League International CupGroup StageKick-off on December 8, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)bet365 Stadium, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Zagreb U21 the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Stoke City U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stoke City U21 vs Dinamo Zagreb U21?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Stoke City U21 (1,629) and Dinamo Zagreb U21 (1,638).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stoke City U21 have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Dinamo Zagreb U21 have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Brentford U21(home) | 2-3 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Scunthorpe(away) | 0-4 | National League Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Leeds United U21(home) | 0-0 | Premier League Cup |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Chester(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bsk Bijelo Brdo(away) | 0-1 | First NL |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Real Madrid U21(home) | 1-2 | Premier League International Cup |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Valencia U21(home) | 4-3 | Premier League International Cup |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Brighton U21(away) | 0-2 | Premier League International Cup |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Newcastle United U21(away) | 3-0 | Premier League International Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Stoke City U21 score 0.9 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Zagreb U21 score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City U21 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Dinamo Zagreb U21 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stoke City U21 vs Dinamo Zagreb U21?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Zagreb U21 the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Stoke City U21.
- Where and when is Stoke City U21 vs Dinamo Zagreb U21 played?
- Stoke City U21 vs Dinamo Zagreb U21 is played on December 8, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at bet365 Stadium, in the Premier League International Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 19, 2026Sunderland U211-1Jong PSV U21
- Aug 26, 2026Fulham U211-4Borussia Dortmund II
- Sep 2, 2026Aston Villa U21vsBrondby U21
- Sep 2, 2026Crystal Palace U21vsParis Saint-Germain U21
- Sep 2, 2026Everton U21vsMilan II
- Sep 15, 2026Tottenham Hotspur U21vsDinamo Zagreb U21
- Sep 15, 2026Aston Villa U21vsReal Sociedad II
- Sep 16, 2026Stoke City U21vsBorussia M'gladbach II