Stoke City vs Bolton: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 34Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)bet365 Stadium, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Stoke City the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Bolton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stoke City wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,566 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stoke City vs Bolton?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Stoke City (1,849) and Bolton (1,862).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stoke City vs Bolton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stoke City
3-4-3- 7J. McGlynn
- 13J. Devenny
- 9R. Boženík
- 2B. Johnson
- 27El Hadji Djibril Soumaré
- 21L. Bombino
- 8E. Galbraith
- 16B. Wilmot
- 5L. Graham
- 18B. Lawal
- 1V. Johansson
Bolton
4-2-3-1- 10S. Dalby
- 8J. Sheehan
- 17A. Ito
- 4X. Simons
- 16S. Iling-Junior
- 11T. Gale
- 25M. Conway
- 14A. Famewo
- 22Gaizka Larrazabal
- 3C. Forino-Joseph
- 1J. Bonham
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 10:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stoke City have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Bolton have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Blackburn(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Preston(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Derby(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Charlton(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 1-5 | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Southampton(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Wolves(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Stoke City wins, 2 draws, 1 Bolton win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bolton 1-2 Stoke City | Championship |
| Jul 30, 2024 | Bolton 0-1 Stoke City | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 29, 2018 | Bolton 0-0 Stoke City | Championship |
| Oct 2, 2018 | Stoke City 2-0 Bolton | Championship |
| May 13, 2012 | Stoke City 2-2 Bolton | Premier League |
| Nov 6, 2011 | Bolton 5-0 Stoke City | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Stoke City score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bolton score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Bolton | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stoke City sit 4th in Championship (26 points from 14 matches) and Bolton sit 17th (17 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Stoke City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 26 |
| 17 | Bolton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 17 |
A question about Stoke City vs Bolton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stoke City vs Bolton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stoke City the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Bolton.
- Where and when is Stoke City vs Bolton played?
- Stoke City vs Bolton is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at bet365 Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.