Norwich vs Swansea: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 34Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Carrow Road, Norwich, Norfolk
The Footlab AI model makes Norwich the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Swansea. The most likely score is 1-1. If Norwich wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Norwich vs Swansea?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Norwich (1,920) and Swansea (1,929).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Norwich vs Swansea
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Norwich
4-2-3-1- 30M. Kvistgaarden
- 11A. Brooks
- 16Jacob Wright
- 25P. Maghoma
- 49A. Musaba
- 26S. Field
- 15Ruairi McConville
- 3J. Stacey
- 14B. Chrisene
- 6H. Darling
- 32D. Grimshaw
Swansea
4-3-3- 30Joseph Okopu
- 7M. Widell
- 33A. Idah
- 4J. Fulton
- 6M. Stamenić
- 17Gonçalo Franco
- 14J. Tymon
- 23S. Welsh
- 26F. Lissah
- 5B. Cabango
- 22L. Vigouroux
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 04:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Norwich have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Swansea have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Derby(away) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Watford(home) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Charlton(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Southampton(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Portsmouth(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | QPR(away) | 0-5 | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Norwich win, 2 draws, 3 Swansea wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Swansea 2-1 Norwich | Championship |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Norwich 1-1 Swansea | Championship |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Swansea 2-1 Norwich | Championship |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Norwich 5-1 Swansea | Championship |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Swansea 1-0 Norwich | Championship |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Norwich 2-2 Swansea | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Norwich score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Swansea score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Swansea | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Norwich sit 12th in Championship (18 points from 14 matches) and Swansea sit 4th (26 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Swansea | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 26 |
| 12 | Norwich | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 27 | 24 | 18 |
A question about Norwich vs Swansea?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Norwich vs Swansea?
- The Footlab AI model makes Norwich the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Swansea.
- Where and when is Norwich vs Swansea played?
- Norwich vs Swansea is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Carrow Road, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.