Stranraer vs Dumbarton: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stair Park, Stranraer
The Footlab AI model makes Stranraer the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Dumbarton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stranraer wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,390 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stranraer vs Dumbarton?
Stranraer starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,564 vs 1,430).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stranraer vs Dumbarton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stranraer
4-1-3-2- 16Lewis Dobbie
- 11A. Healy
- 8A. Quigg
- 12A. Traynor
- 24S. Mason
- 14Z. Bruce
- 4M. McLuckie
- 2E. Dunne
- 5Kenzi Nair
- 3F. Ecrepont
- 1M. Currie
Dumbarton
5-3-2- 21S. Honeyman
- 20Robert James Karl Cleary
- 8J. Todd
- 6O. Hartington
- 10D. Craig
- 24M. Doyle
- 3A. Omar
- 5T. Lang
- 19C. McKenna
- 34T. Robson
- 54M. Munn
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 09:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stranraer have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Dumbarton have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Kilmarnock II(home) | 3-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Annan Athletic(away) | 6-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Edinburgh City(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | East Kilbride(home) | 4-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Berwick Rangers(away) | 2-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 0-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Clyde(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(home) | 3-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Kilmarnock II(home) | 3-2 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Stranraer wins, 3 draws, 1 Dumbarton win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Stranraer 3-1 Dumbarton | League Two |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Stranraer 1-1 Dumbarton | League Two |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Dumbarton 2-0 Stranraer | League Two |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Stranraer 1-1 Dumbarton | League Two |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Dumbarton 1-2 Stranraer | League Two |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Stranraer 0-0 Dumbarton | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Stranraer vs Dumbarton on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stranraer score 2.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Dumbarton score 1.4 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stranraer | 2.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Dumbarton | 1.4 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stranraer sit 1st in League Two (20 points from 10 matches) and Dumbarton sit 6th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stranraer | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 20 |
| 6 | Dumbarton | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 12 |
A question about Stranraer vs Dumbarton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stranraer vs Dumbarton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stranraer the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Dumbarton.
- Where and when is Stranraer vs Dumbarton played?
- Stranraer vs Dumbarton is played on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stair Park, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.