Spartans vs Kelty Hearts: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ainslie Park Stadium, Edinburgh
The Footlab AI model makes Spartans the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Kelty Hearts. The most likely score is 1-1. If Spartans wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,182 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartans vs Kelty Hearts?
On Elo ratings, Spartans has 1,483 points and Kelty Hearts 1,427.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Spartans vs Kelty Hearts
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Spartans
4-3-3- 9M. McNulty
- 29M. Stowe
- 14R. Dinanga
- 18B. Walls
- 4S. Welsh
- 33B. Whyte
- 5J. Tapping
- 2Matthew Mudie
- 15A. Sonkur
- 19Ethan Drysdale
- 21P. Martin
Kelty Hearts
4-1-3-2- 11R. Cole
- 9K. Higginbotham
- 14J. Hislop
- 10I. Murray
- 26R. Cunningham
- 17M. Falconer
- 5C. Flatman
- 25G. Walker
- 3C. Hannah
- 15A. Davidson
- 1J. Smith
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 03:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartans have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Kelty Hearts have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Stranraer(home) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(home) | 1-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Edinburgh City(away) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(home) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Dundee II(home) | 1-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Oct 13, 2026 | East Kilbride(away) | 1-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stirling Albion(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Spartans(away) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Montrose(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Spartans wins, 0 draws, 2 Kelty Hearts wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Spartans 0-2 Kelty Hearts | League Two |
| Dec 15, 2020 | Spartans 0-4 Kelty Hearts | Football League - Lowland League |
Last archived meeting: Spartans vs Kelty Hearts on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spartans score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kelty Hearts score 1.9 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartans | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Kelty Hearts | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spartans sit 4th in League Two (15 points from 11 matches) and Kelty Hearts sit 5th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spartans | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 15 |
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 15 |
A question about Spartans vs Kelty Hearts?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartans vs Kelty Hearts?
- The Footlab AI model makes Spartans the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Kelty Hearts.
- Where and when is Spartans vs Kelty Hearts played?
- Spartans vs Kelty Hearts is played on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ainslie Park Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.