Where and when is Stranraer vs Gala Fairydean Rovers played?

Stranraer vs Gala Fairydean Rovers is played on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Stair Park, in the Challenge Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Stranraer vs Gala Fairydean Rovers: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stair Park, Stranraer

Stranraer

Gala Fairydean Rovers

The Footlab model makes Stranraer the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Gala Fairydean Rovers. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stranraer vs Gala Fairydean Rovers?

A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Stranraer (1,545) and Gala Fairydean Rovers (1,455).

Stranraer win61 %

Draw20 %

Gala Fairydean Rovers win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stranraer have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Gala Fairydean Rovers have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stranraer
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Stirling Albion(away)	2-2	League Two
Aug 15, 2026	Spartans(home)	1-0	League Two
Aug 11, 2026	Alloa Athletic(away)	1-2	Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Annan Athletic(home)	0-1	League Two
Aug 1, 2026	Clyde(away)	1-3	League Two

Gala Fairydean Rovers
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Hill Of Beath Hawthorn(home)	3-4	Football League - Lowland League
Aug 11, 2026	Rangers U21(home)	0-4	Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Linlithgow Rose(away)	0-5	Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026	Bo'ness United(home)	1-3	Football League - Lowland League
Jul 28, 2026	Broxburn Athletic(away)	0-1	Football League - Lowland League

How many goals should we expect?

Stranraer score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gala Fairydean Rovers score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Stranraer	1.0	1.3	5	6/15	7/15
Gala Fairydean Rovers	1.9	1.5	6	6/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stranraer vs Gala Fairydean Rovers?: The Footlab model makes Stranraer the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Gala Fairydean Rovers.
Where and when is Stranraer vs Gala Fairydean Rovers played?: Stranraer vs Gala Fairydean Rovers is played on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Stair Park, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.