Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The moreroom.com Stadium, Dumbarton
The Footlab AI model makes Edinburgh City the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Dumbarton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Edinburgh City wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Dumbarton (1,414) and Edinburgh City (1,460).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dumbarton
5-3-2- 21S. Honeyman
- 20Robert James Karl Cleary
- 8J. Todd
- 6O. Hartington
- 10D. Craig
- 24M. Doyle
- 3A. Omar
- 5T. Lang
- 19C. McKenna
- 34T. Robson
- 54M. Munn
Edinburgh City
4-3-3- 7L. Walker
- 11I. Lawson
- 20T. North
- 18M. Aiken
- 21F. Rowe
- 24Keir Foster
- 5J. Grigor
- 2C. McGinn
- 23J. McGregor
- 5J. Walker
- 1M. Weir
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 07:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dumbarton have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Edinburgh City have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Stirling Albion(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 0-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Clyde(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(home) | 3-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Elgin City(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 13, 2026 | St. Mirren U21(home) | 0-5 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Spartans(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Stranraer(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Formartine United(away) | 0-2 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Dumbarton wins, 1 draw, 5 Edinburgh City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dumbarton 0-3 Edinburgh City | League Two |
| May 2, 2026 | Edinburgh City 5-0 Dumbarton | League Two |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Dumbarton 1-2 Edinburgh City | League Two |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Edinburgh City 4-3 Dumbarton | League Two |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Dumbarton 1-2 Edinburgh City | League Two |
| May 7, 2022 | Dumbarton 1-1 Edinburgh City | League One |
Last archived meeting: Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dumbarton score 1.4 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Edinburgh City score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dumbarton | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Edinburgh City | 1.6 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dumbarton sit 6th in League Two (13 points from 11 matches) and Edinburgh City sit 8th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dumbarton | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 13 |
| 8 | Edinburgh City | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 18 | 11 |
A question about Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Edinburgh City the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Dumbarton.
- Where and when is Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City played?
- Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The moreroom.com Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.