Match

Stranraer vs Tayport: prediction and stats

FA CupRound of 128Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stair Park, Stranraer

StranraerTayport

The Footlab AI model makes Stranraer the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Tayport. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stranraer wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,577 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stranraer vs Tayport?

A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Stranraer (1,555) and Tayport (1,516).

48%23%29%
Stranraer winDrawTayport win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Stranraer vs Tayport

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Stranraer

4-1-3-2
  1. 16Lewis Dobbie
  2. 11A. Healy
  1. 8A. Quigg
  2. 12A. Traynor
  3. 24S. Mason
  4. 14Z. Bruce
  1. 4M. McLuckie
  2. 2E. Dunne
  3. 5Kenzi Nair
  4. 3F. Ecrepont
  1. 1M. Currie

Tayport

Not enough data to predict the Tayport lineup.

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 05:23 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stranraer have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Tayport have 4, 0 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stranraer
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Spartans(away)2-0League Two
Oct 13, 2026Kilmarnock II(home)3-3Challenge Cup
Oct 10, 2026Annan Athletic(away)6-1League Two
Oct 3, 2026Edinburgh City(home)0-0League Two
Sep 26, 2026East Kilbride(home)4-3Challenge Cup
Tayport
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Wick Academy(home)3-0FA Cup
Oct 25, 2025Dumbarton(away)0-2FA Cup
Sep 27, 2025Coldstream(away)3-2FA Cup
Aug 30, 2025Dalbeattie Star(home)4-1FA Cup
Aug 31, 2024Dundee North End(home)1-3FA Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Stranraer score 2.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tayport score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stranraer2.71.369/1511/15
Tayport1.61.924/86/8

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Stranraer vs Tayport?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stranraer vs Tayport?
The Footlab AI model makes Stranraer the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Tayport.
Where and when is Stranraer vs Tayport played?
Stranraer vs Tayport is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stair Park, in the FA Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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