Threave Rovers vs Pollok: prediction and stats
FA CupRound of 128Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Meadow Park, Castle Douglas
The Footlab AI model makes Pollok the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Threave Rovers. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pollok wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Threave Rovers vs Pollok?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Threave Rovers (1,532) and Pollok (1,603).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Threave Rovers vs Pollok
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Threave Rovers
Not enough data to predict the Threave Rovers lineup.
Pollok
Not enough data to predict the Pollok lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 09:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Threave Rovers have 6 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Pollok have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Invergordon(home) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Johnstone Burgh(away) | 0-4 | FA Cup |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Hawick Royal Albert(away) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Stranraer(home) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Vale of Leithen(home) | 6-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Albion Rovers(home) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Albion Rovers(home) | 5-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Renfrew(home) | 1-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gretna 2008(away) | 3-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Threave Rovers score 2.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 13; Pollok score 2.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Threave Rovers | 2.3 | 2.1 | 0 | 8/13 | 10/13 |
| Pollok | 2.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
A question about Threave Rovers vs Pollok?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Threave Rovers vs Pollok?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pollok the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Threave Rovers.
- Where and when is Threave Rovers vs Pollok played?
- Threave Rovers vs Pollok is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Meadow Park, in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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