Strasbourg vs Marseille: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 21Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
The Footlab AI model makes Marseille the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Strasbourg. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marseille wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Strasbourg vs Marseille?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Strasbourg (2,056) and Marseille (2,084).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Strasbourg vs Marseille
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Strasbourg
4-3-3- 80Gessime Yassine
- 11S. Nanasi
- 7S. Amo-Ameyaw
- 23Diogo Sousa
- 21P. Diop
- 10G. Reyna
- 16G. Antwi
- 4J. Mitchell
- 36Oso
- 31Abdoul Karim Coulibaly
- 1F. Jörgensen
Marseille
4-2-3-1- 9A. Gouiri
- 8H. Abdelli
- 77A. Harit
- 14Igor Paixão
- 7A. Gomes
- 23P. Højbjerg
- 4C. Egan-Riley
- 33Emerson
- 21N. Aguerd
- 22T. Weah
- 12J. de Lange
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Strasbourg have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Marseille have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nice(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Paris FC(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Estac Troyes(away) | 6-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Lens(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Estac Troyes(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Beşiktaş(away) | 1-4 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Rennes(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Paris FC(home) | 2-3 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Strasbourg win, 3 draws, 2 Marseille wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Marseille 4-0 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Marseille 2-2 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Strasbourg 1-2 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Marseille 1-1 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Strasbourg 1-0 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 12, 2024 | Marseille 1-1 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Marseille vs Strasbourg on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Strasbourg score 1.7 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Marseille score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg | 1.7 | 2.6 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Marseille | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Strasbourg sit 11th in Ligue 1 (7 points from 6 matches) and Marseille sit 13th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 7 |
| 13 | Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
A question about Strasbourg vs Marseille?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Strasbourg vs Marseille?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marseille the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Strasbourg.
- Where and when is Strasbourg vs Marseille played?
- Strasbourg vs Marseille is played on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Meinau, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.