Strasbourg vs Marseille: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 21Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
The Footlab model makes Strasbourg the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Marseille. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Strasbourg vs Marseille?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Strasbourg (2,005) and Marseille (2,088).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Strasbourg have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Marseille have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Marseille(away) | 0-4 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Newcastle(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SC Freiburg(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | SV Elversberg(home) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brighton(away) | 3-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Strasbourg(home) | 4-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Nimes(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Rennes(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Strasbourg win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Marseille win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Marseille 4-0 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Marseille 2-2 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Strasbourg 1-2 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Marseille 1-1 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Strasbourg 1-0 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 12, 2024 | Marseille 1-1 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Marseille vs Strasbourg on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Strasbourg score 1.2 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Marseille score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg | 1.2 | 2.6 | 0 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Marseille | 1.6 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Strasbourg sit 18th in Ligue 1 (0 points from 1 matches) and Marseille sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marseille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 | Strasbourg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Strasbourg vs Marseille?
- The Footlab model makes Strasbourg the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Marseille.
- Where and when is Strasbourg vs Marseille played?
- Strasbourg vs Marseille is played on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Meinau, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.