Match

Nice vs Auxerre: prediction and stats

Ligue 1Regular Season - 21Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Allianz Riviera, Nice

NiceAuxerre

The Footlab AI model makes Nice the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Auxerre. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nice wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nice vs Auxerre?

On Elo ratings, Nice has 1,965 points and Auxerre 1,946.

51%24%25%
Nice winDrawAuxerre win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Nice vs Auxerre

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Nice

3-4-2-1
  1. 11E. Wahi
  1. 92J. Clauss
  2. 39D. Coulibaly
  3. 28A. Witsel
  4. 7G. Hein
  5. 27N. Nkounkou
  6. 9M. Amoura
  1. 55Y. Ndayishimiye
  2. 35X. Mandza Tsiendi
  3. 5Mohamed Abdelmonem
  1. 23Y. Diouf

Auxerre

3-4-2-1
  1. 9C. Archer
  1. 10D. Namaso
  2. 27L. Sy
  3. 5K. Danois
  4. 22F. Oppegård
  5. 8N. Ahamada
  6. 21R. Faivre
  1. 92C. Akpa
  2. 46A. Piedfort
  3. 4A. Tuanzebe
  1. 23M. Diop

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:04 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nice have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Auxerre have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Strasbourg(home)2-1Ligue 1
Sep 20, 2026Lille(home)2-1Ligue 1
Sep 12, 2026Auxerre(away)0-1Ligue 1
Sep 5, 2026Le Mans(home)1-1Ligue 1
Aug 30, 2026Paris FC(away)0-3Ligue 1
Auxerre
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Rennes(away)1-4Ligue 1
Oct 2, 2026Clermont Foot(home)4-3Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026Stade Brestois 29(home)2-1Ligue 1
Sep 12, 2026Nice(home)1-0Ligue 1
Sep 4, 2026Lyon(away)1-3Ligue 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nice win, 2 draws, 3 Auxerre wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 12, 2026Auxerre 1-0 NiceLigue 1
May 10, 2026Auxerre 2-1 NiceLigue 1
Aug 23, 2025Nice 3-1 AuxerreLigue 1
Mar 14, 2025Nice 1-1 AuxerreLigue 1
Aug 18, 2024Auxerre 2-1 NiceLigue 1
Jan 6, 2024Nice 0-0 AuxerreCoupe de France

Last archived meeting: Auxerre vs Nice on Sep 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nice score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Auxerre score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nice1.01.066/157/15
Auxerre1.91.8312/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nice sit 9th in Ligue 1 (8 points from 6 matches) and Auxerre sit 16th (6 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Nice6222578
16Auxerre62048166

A question about Nice vs Auxerre?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nice vs Auxerre?
The Footlab AI model makes Nice the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Auxerre.
Where and when is Nice vs Auxerre played?
Nice vs Auxerre is played on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Allianz Riviera, in the Ligue 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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