Where and when is Alvechurch vs Leighton Town played?

Alvechurch vs Leighton Town is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Lye Meadow, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Alvechurch vs Leighton Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Lye Meadow, Alvechurch, Worcestershire

Alvechurch

Leighton Town

The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Alvechurch. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alvechurch vs Leighton Town?

A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Alvechurch (1,773) and Leighton Town (1,845).

Alvechurch win34 %

Draw26 %

Leighton Town win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alvechurch have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Leighton Town have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alvechurch
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bishop's Stortford(away)	3-0	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026	Needham Market(home)	2-0	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026	Worcester City(home)	3-1	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026	Kettering Town(away)	0-1	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Jul 28, 2026	Kidderminster Harriers(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs

Leighton Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Anstey Nomads(away)	0-2	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026	Worcester City(home)	2-1	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026	Kettering Town(home)	1-1	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026	Redditch United(away)	1-1	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Apr 25, 2026	London Lions(home)	5-0	Non League Div One - Southern Central

How many goals should we expect?

Alvechurch score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Leighton Town score 2.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Alvechurch	1.4	0.9	4	9/15	6/15
Leighton Town	2.3	0.7	8	5/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Alvechurch sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Southern Central (6 points from 3 matches) and Leighton Town sit 7th (5 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Alvechurch	3	2	0	1	5	2	6
7	Leighton Town	3	1	2	0	4	3	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alvechurch vs Leighton Town?: The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Alvechurch.
Where and when is Alvechurch vs Leighton Town played?: Alvechurch vs Leighton Town is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Lye Meadow, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.