Strogino vs Salyut-Belgorod: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 3Group 3 - 27Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rublevo, Moskva
The Footlab model makes Salyut-Belgorod the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Strogino. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Strogino vs Salyut-Belgorod?
Salyut-Belgorod starts as the favourite with a 240-point Elo edge (1,717 vs 1,477).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Strogino have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Salyut-Belgorod have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SKA Khabarovsk II(home) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shumbrat(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Torpedo Vladimir(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Spartak Tambov(away) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Avangard Kursk(away) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rotor-2(home) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kvant(away) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Saturn Ramenskoye(home) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Orel(home) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Kristall MEZ(away) | 0-3 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Strogino win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Salyut-Belgorod win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Salyut-Belgorod 1-0 Strogino | Second League - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Strogino 0-2 Salyut-Belgorod | Second League - Group 3 |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Salyut-Belgorod 3-1 Strogino | Second League - Group 3 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Salyut-Belgorod 2-0 Strogino | Second League - Group 3 |
| Jul 1, 2024 | Strogino 1-1 Salyut-Belgorod | Second League - Group 3 |
| May 15, 2022 | Salyut-Belgorod 3-1 Strogino | Second League - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Salyut-Belgorod vs Strogino on Jun 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Strogino score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Salyut-Belgorod score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strogino | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Salyut-Belgorod | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Strogino sit 12th in Second League - Group 3 (22 points from 20 matches) and Salyut-Belgorod sit 3rd (39 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Salyut-Belgorod | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 37 | 18 | 39 |
| 12 | Strogino | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 33 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Strogino vs Salyut-Belgorod?
- The Footlab model makes Salyut-Belgorod the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Strogino.
- Where and when is Strogino vs Salyut-Belgorod played?
- Strogino vs Salyut-Belgorod is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rublevo, in the Second League - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.