Match

Stuttgart W vs Mainz 05 W: prediction and stats

Frauen BundesligaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Bezirkssportanlage NeckarPark PSV-Stadion, Stuttgart

Stuttgart WMainz 05 W

The Footlab AI model makes Stuttgart W the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Mainz 05 W. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stuttgart W wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stuttgart W vs Mainz 05 W?

A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Stuttgart W (1,865) and Mainz 05 W (1,823).

45%22%33%
Stuttgart W winDrawMainz 05 W win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Stuttgart W vs Mainz 05 W

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Stuttgart W

3-4-1-2
  1. 26N. Billa
  2. 21M. Arouna
  1. 6C. Hagel
  2. 7Dafina Redzepi
  3. 22A. Achcińska
  4. 3Lenelotte Muller
  5. 8M. Rall
  1. 5G. Stegemann
  2. 23L. Zähringer
  3. 16J. Hechler
  1. 1L. Giuliani

Mainz 05 W

Not enough data to predict the Mainz 05 W lineup.

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stuttgart W have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Mainz 05 W have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stuttgart W
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 19, 2026Bayern Munich W(away)0-5Frauen Bundesliga
Oct 4, 2026Union Berlin W(home)0-4Frauen Bundesliga
Sep 26, 2026Turbine Potsdam W(away)3-2DFB Pokal - Women
Sep 21, 2026Werder Bremen W(away)1-1Frauen Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026VfL Wolfsburg W(home)0-2Frauen Bundesliga
Mainz 05 W
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026VfL Wolfsburg W(home)0-5Frauen Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2026RB Leipzig W(away)0-5Frauen Bundesliga
Sep 26, 2026Ingolstadt W(away)6-1DFB Pokal - Women
Sep 18, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt W(home)2-3Frauen Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026SC Freiburg W(away)0-3Frauen Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Stuttgart W win, 0 draws, 3 Mainz 05 W wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Stuttgart W 2-4 Mainz 05 W2. Frauen Bundesliga
Oct 12, 2025Mainz 05 W 4-5 Stuttgart W2. Frauen Bundesliga
Aug 17, 2025Stuttgart W 0-2 Mainz 05 WDFB Pokal - Women
Aug 18, 2024Stuttgart W 1-2 Mainz 05 WDFB Pokal - Women

Last archived meeting: Stuttgart W vs Mainz 05 W on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Stuttgart W score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mainz 05 W score 2.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stuttgart W2.01.748/1511/15
Mainz 05 W2.51.946/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stuttgart W sit 10th in Frauen Bundesliga (8 points from 7 matches) and Mainz 05 W sit 14th (0 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Stuttgart W72238178
14Mainz 05 W70073240

A question about Stuttgart W vs Mainz 05 W?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stuttgart W vs Mainz 05 W?
The Footlab AI model makes Stuttgart W the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Mainz 05 W.
Where and when is Stuttgart W vs Mainz 05 W played?
Stuttgart W vs Mainz 05 W is played on March 28, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Bezirkssportanlage NeckarPark PSV-Stadion, in the Frauen Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Stuttgart W and Mainz 05 W

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