Avellino vs Sudtirol: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino
The Footlab AI model makes Avellino the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Sudtirol. The most likely score is 1-1. If Avellino wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avellino vs Sudtirol?
On Elo ratings, Avellino has 1,864 points and Sudtirol 1,825.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Avellino vs Sudtirol
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Avellino
3-5-2- 10R. Russo
- 9W. Cheddira
- 27B. Moruzzi
- 39M. Besaggio
- 20M. Palumbo
- 2F. Missori
- 6L. Palmiero
- 4A. Izzo
- 56P. Enrici
- 23M. Venturi
- 50T. Martinelli
Sudtirol
5-4-1- 90A. Okoro
- 11Vasco Lopes
- 5S. Tronchin
- 10Fabio Rispoli
- 14A. Vasic
- 55A. Giorgini
- 4R. Stivanello
- 79S. Molina
- 27G. Stabile
- 24S. Davì
- 22A. Plizzari
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avellino have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Sudtirol have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Modena(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Modena(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Avellino wins, 0 draws, 1 Sudtirol win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Avellino 3-2 Sudtirol | Serie B |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Sudtirol 0-1 Avellino | Serie B |
| Jun 2, 2021 | Sudtirol 1-0 Avellino | Serie C - Girone A |
| May 30, 2021 | Avellino 2-0 Sudtirol | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Avellino score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sudtirol score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avellino | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Sudtirol | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avellino sit 6th in Serie B (10 points from 6 matches) and Sudtirol sit 4th (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sudtirol | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Avellino | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 10 |
A question about Avellino vs Sudtirol?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avellino vs Sudtirol?
- The Footlab AI model makes Avellino the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Sudtirol.
- Where and when is Avellino vs Sudtirol played?
- Avellino vs Sudtirol is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.