Šumperk vs Vratimov: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie FDivision F - 15Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Městský Stadion, Šumperk
The Footlab model makes Vratimov the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Šumperk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Šumperk vs Vratimov?
Vratimov starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (1,720 vs 1,556).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Šumperk have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Vratimov have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stonava(home) | 0-3 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Valašské Meziříčí(away) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Frydek-Mistek B(home) | 2-1 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nové Sady(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Vratimov(away) | 0-2 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Valašské Meziříčí(home) | 2-0 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Frydek-Mistek B(away) | 3-1 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Jiskra Rýmařov(home) | 1-2 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Havířov(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Šumperk(home) | 2-0 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Šumperk win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Vratimov win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Vratimov 2-0 Šumperk | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Šumperk 1-2 Vratimov | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| May 11, 2024 | Vratimov 2-2 Šumperk | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Šumperk 5-0 Vratimov | 4. liga - Divizie F |
How many goals should we expect?
Šumperk score 0.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Vratimov score 2.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Šumperk | 0.9 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Vratimov | 2.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Šumperk sit 6th in 4. liga - Divizie F (4 points from 2 matches) and Vratimov sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Šumperk | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Vratimov | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Vratimov | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Šumperk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Šumperk vs Vratimov?
- The Footlab model makes Vratimov the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Šumperk.
- Where and when is Šumperk vs Vratimov played?
- Šumperk vs Vratimov is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Městský Stadion, in the 4. liga - Divizie F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.