Bílovec vs Stonava: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie FDivision F - 15Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Fotbalove Hriste Bílovec, Bílovec
The Footlab model makes Stonava the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Bílovec. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bílovec vs Stonava?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Bílovec (1,640) and Stonava (1,691).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bílovec have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Stonava have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bospor Bohumín(home) | 0-5 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zabreh(away) | 1-2 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Opava II(home) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Vítkovice(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Cesky Tesin(away) | 3-0 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Šumperk(away) | 3-0 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kravare(home) | 1-2 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nový Jičín(away) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Polanka nad Odrou(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Havířov(home) | 4-2 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Bílovec win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Stonava win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Bílovec 1-0 Stonava | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Stonava 5-0 Bílovec | 4. liga - Divizie F |
How many goals should we expect?
Bílovec score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Stonava score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bílovec | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Stonava | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bílovec sit 12th in 4. liga - Divizie F (1 points from 2 matches) and Stonava sit 11th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Stonava | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Stonava | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 12 | Bílovec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | Bílovec | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bílovec vs Stonava?
- The Footlab model makes Stonava the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Bílovec.
- Where and when is Bílovec vs Stonava played?
- Bílovec vs Stonava is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Fotbalove Hriste Bílovec, in the 4. liga - Divizie F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.