Sundby vs Næsby: prediction and stats
3. DivisionRegular Season - 22Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sundby Idrætspark, København
The Footlab AI model makes Næsby the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Sundby. The most likely score is 1-1. If Næsby wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sundby vs Næsby?
Næsby starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,717 vs 1,610).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sundby vs Næsby
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sundby
4-3-3- 19K. Trkulja
- 9M. Krogh Hansen
- 13Nicolai Jacobsen
- 6J. Becker
- 10G. Pyne-Cole
- 2M. Langhorn
- 5M. Jorgensen
- 25Benjamin Juel-Berg
- 4Magnus Vandal
- 20Mohamed Belmaillah
- 24Lucas Poulsen
Næsby
4-3-3- 9O. Koertz
- 10K. Host
- 20R. Larsen
- 15K. Nyegaard
- 18A. Kjaergaard
- 8L. Larsen
- 2A. Molberg
- 22L. Jensen
- 14A. Tomaselli
- 16R. Knudsen
- 1Rasmus Jepsen-Jacob
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sundby have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Næsby have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Ishøj(home) | 2-3 | 3. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vanløse(home) | 0-1 | 3. Division |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Frem(away) | 3-0 | 3. Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Holstebro(home) | 2-0 | 3. Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | FC Helsingor(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Frem(away) | 0-2 | 3. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Holstebro(home) | 4-0 | 3. Division |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ringsted(away) | 2-1 | 3. Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Helsingor(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division |
| Sep 16, 2026 | AC Horsens(home) | 2-3 | DBU Pokalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Sundby wins, 0 draws, 3 Næsby wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Næsby 2-1 Sundby | 3. Division |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Sundby 1-0 Næsby | 3. Division |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Næsby 3-1 Sundby | 3. Division |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Sundby 0-3 Næsby | 3. Division |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Næsby 0-2 Sundby | 3. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Sundby score 1.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Næsby score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sundby | 1.6 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Næsby | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sundby sit 10th in 3. Division (10 points from 11 matches) and Næsby sit 5th (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Næsby | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 17 |
| 10 | Sundby | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 10 |
A question about Sundby vs Næsby?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sundby vs Næsby?
- The Footlab AI model makes Næsby the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Sundby.
- Where and when is Sundby vs Næsby played?
- Sundby vs Næsby is played on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sundby Idrætspark, in the 3. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.