Holstebro vs ASA Aarhus: prediction and stats
3. DivisionRegular Season - 22Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Krøyer Park, Holstebro
The Footlab model makes Holstebro the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for ASA Aarhus. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Holstebro vs ASA Aarhus?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Holstebro (1,713) and ASA Aarhus (1,632).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holstebro have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; ASA Aarhus have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Helsingor(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ringsted(away) | 4-0 | 3. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Holbæk B&I(home) | 2-2 | 3. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Aalborg(home) | 1-3 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hørsholm-Usserød(away) | 3-2 | 3. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Frem(away) | 1-3 | 3. Division |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Randers FC(home) | 0-4 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vanløse(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ishøj(away) | 1-0 | 3. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Viby(away) | 0-0 | DBU Pokalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Holstebro win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 ASA Aarhus win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | Holstebro 1-1 ASA Aarhus | Denmark Series - Group 4 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | ASA Aarhus 1-2 Holstebro | Denmark Series - Group 4 |
| Jun 18, 2022 | Holstebro 0-0 ASA Aarhus | Denmark Series - Group 4 |
| Apr 18, 2022 | ASA Aarhus 0-1 Holstebro | Denmark Series - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2021 | Holstebro 2-0 ASA Aarhus | Denmark Series - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Holstebro vs ASA Aarhus on Nov 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Holstebro score 2.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; ASA Aarhus score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holstebro | 2.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| ASA Aarhus | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Holstebro sit 2nd in 3. Division (7 points from 3 matches) and ASA Aarhus sit 5th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Holstebro | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | ASA Aarhus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Holstebro vs ASA Aarhus?
- The Footlab model makes Holstebro the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for ASA Aarhus.
- Where and when is Holstebro vs ASA Aarhus played?
- Holstebro vs ASA Aarhus is played on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Krøyer Park, in the 3. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.