Holstebro vs ASA Aarhus: prediction and stats
3. DivisionRegular Season - 22Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Krøyer Park, Holstebro
The Footlab AI model makes Holstebro the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for ASA Aarhus. The most likely score is 1-1. If Holstebro wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,395 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Holstebro vs ASA Aarhus?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Holstebro (1,580) and ASA Aarhus (1,591).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Holstebro vs ASA Aarhus
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Holstebro
Not enough data to predict the Holstebro lineup.
ASA Aarhus
Not enough data to predict the ASA Aarhus lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 09:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holstebro have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; ASA Aarhus have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brønshøj(home) | 2-4 | 3. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Næsby(away) | 0-4 | 3. Division |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ishøj(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sundby(away) | 0-2 | 3. Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Frem(home) | 3-2 | 3. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Helsingor(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Holbæk B&I(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hørsholm-Usserød(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Brønshøj(away) | 1-5 | 3. Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Næsby(home) | 1-0 | 3. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Holstebro wins, 2 draws, 1 ASA Aarhus win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | ASA Aarhus 4-0 Holstebro | 3. Division |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Holstebro 1-1 ASA Aarhus | Denmark Series - Group 4 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | ASA Aarhus 1-2 Holstebro | Denmark Series - Group 4 |
| Jun 18, 2022 | Holstebro 0-0 ASA Aarhus | Denmark Series - Group 4 |
| Apr 18, 2022 | ASA Aarhus 0-1 Holstebro | Denmark Series - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2021 | Holstebro 2-0 ASA Aarhus | Denmark Series - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: ASA Aarhus vs Holstebro on Aug 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Holstebro score 1.8 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; ASA Aarhus score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holstebro | 1.8 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 14/15 |
| ASA Aarhus | 1.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Holstebro sit 8th in 3. Division (13 points from 10 matches) and ASA Aarhus sit 6th (16 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | ASA Aarhus | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 16 |
| 8 | Holstebro | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 13 |
A question about Holstebro vs ASA Aarhus?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Holstebro vs ASA Aarhus?
- The Footlab AI model makes Holstebro the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for ASA Aarhus.
- Where and when is Holstebro vs ASA Aarhus played?
- Holstebro vs ASA Aarhus is played on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Krøyer Park, in the 3. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.