Match

Supra du Quebec vs Forge: prediction and stats

Canadian Premier LeagueGroup StageKick-off on August 28, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)

Supra du QuebecForge

The Footlab model makes Forge the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Supra du Quebec. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Supra du Quebec vs Forge?

Forge starts as the favourite with a 168-point Elo edge (1,849 vs 1,681).

Supra du Quebec win22 %
Draw23 %
Forge win55 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Supra du Quebec have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Forge have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Supra du Quebec
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026York United(away)1-1Canadian Premier League
Aug 19, 2026Forge(away)2-3Canadian Premier League
Aug 16, 2026Atlético Ottawa(home)1-2Canadian Premier League
Aug 11, 2026Atlético Ottawa(away)3-3Canadian Championship
Aug 9, 2026Cavalry FC(home)1-1Canadian Premier League
Forge
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Pacific FC(home)2-0Canadian Premier League
Aug 19, 2026Supra du Quebec(home)3-2Canadian Premier League
Aug 15, 2026Cavalry FC(away)1-2Canadian Premier League
Aug 7, 2026Vancouver FC(home)0-1Canadian Premier League
Aug 2, 2026HFX Wanderers FC(away)0-0Canadian Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Supra du Quebec win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Forge win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Forge 3-2 Supra du QuebecCanadian Premier League
Jul 5, 2026Supra du Quebec 1-2 ForgeCanadian Premier League
May 13, 2026Forge 1-0 Supra du QuebecCanadian Premier League

Last archived meeting: Forge vs Supra du Quebec on Aug 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Supra du Quebec score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Forge score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Supra du Quebec1.82.1015/1511/15
Forge1.70.959/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Supra du Quebec sit 6th in Canadian Premier League (18 points from 17 matches) and Forge sit 1st (41 points from 18 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Forge181323291341
6Supra du Quebec17539253218

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Supra du Quebec vs Forge?
The Footlab model makes Forge the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Supra du Quebec.
Where and when is Supra du Quebec vs Forge played?
Supra du Quebec vs Forge is played on August 28, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC), in the Canadian Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Supra du Quebec and Forge

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