Where and when is Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC played?

Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC is played on October 3, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC), in the Canadian Premier League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC: prediction and stats

Canadian Premier LeagueGroup StageKick-off on October 3, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)

Supra du Quebec

Pacific FC

The Footlab model makes Supra du Quebec the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Pacific FC. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC?

Supra du Quebec starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (1,680 vs 1,499).

Supra du Quebec win63 %

Draw20 %

Pacific FC win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Supra du Quebec have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Pacific FC have 0, 4 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Supra du Quebec
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	York United(away)	1-1	Canadian Premier League
Aug 19, 2026	Forge(away)	2-3	Canadian Premier League
Aug 16, 2026	Atlético Ottawa(home)	1-2	Canadian Premier League
Aug 11, 2026	Atlético Ottawa(away)	3-3	Canadian Championship
Aug 9, 2026	Cavalry FC(home)	1-1	Canadian Premier League

Pacific FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Forge(away)	0-2	Canadian Premier League
Aug 15, 2026	Vancouver FC(away)	1-1	Canadian Premier League
Aug 8, 2026	York United(home)	1-1	Canadian Premier League
Aug 1, 2026	Supra du Quebec(home)	1-2	Canadian Premier League
Jul 26, 2026	Atlético Ottawa(away)	2-3	Canadian Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Supra du Quebec win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Pacific FC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 1, 2026	Pacific FC 1-2 Supra du Quebec	Canadian Premier League
Jun 6, 2026	Supra du Quebec 1-1 Pacific FC	Canadian Premier League
Apr 11, 2026	Pacific FC 2-3 Supra du Quebec	Canadian Premier League

Last archived meeting: Pacific FC vs Supra du Quebec on Aug 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Supra du Quebec score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pacific FC score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Supra du Quebec	1.8	2.1	0	15/15	11/15
Pacific FC	0.9	2.1	0	11/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Supra du Quebec sit 6th in Canadian Premier League (18 points from 17 matches) and Pacific FC sit 8th (5 points from 17 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Supra du Quebec	17	5	3	9	25	32	18
8	Pacific FC	17	0	5	12	18	36	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC?: The Footlab model makes Supra du Quebec the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Pacific FC.
Where and when is Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC played?: Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC is played on October 3, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC), in the Canadian Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.