Sutton Utd vs AFC Hornchurch: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)VBS Community Stadium, Sutton, Surrey
The Footlab AI model makes AFC Hornchurch the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Sutton Utd. The most likely score is 1-1. If AFC Hornchurch wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,594 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sutton Utd vs AFC Hornchurch?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Sutton Utd (1,743) and AFC Hornchurch (1,813).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sutton Utd vs AFC Hornchurch
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sutton Utd
4-3-3- 18D. Ogbonna
- 9T. Babalola
- 16B. Njoku
- 7E. Osadebe
- 19Joe Knight
- 10C. Carter
- 27B. Brookes
- 12D. Urpens
- 3B. Topalloj
- 4A. Kirk
- 1S. Brits
AFC Hornchurch
4-3-3- 18M. Weston
- 30R. Loft
- 11H. Sandat
- 14Charlie Pegrum
- 8T. Wraight
- 27Alfie Massey
- 2W. Greenidge
- 6T. Dallison-Lisbon
- 5J. Baldwin
- 3R. Inniss
- 1A. Nasta
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 01:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sutton Utd have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; AFC Hornchurch have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Southampton U21(home) | 0-0 | National League Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Worthing(away) | 3-0 | National League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Harrogate Town(away) | 1-3 | National League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Truro City(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | West Ham United U21(home) | 2-0 | National League Cup |
| Oct 30, 2026 | AFC Fylde(away) | 1-3 | National League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Yeovil Town(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Hartlepool(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Uxbridge(away) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Sutton Utd win, 0 draws, 0 AFC Hornchurch wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2024 | AFC Hornchurch 0-3 Sutton Utd | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: AFC Hornchurch vs Sutton Utd on Jul 16, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Sutton Utd score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Hornchurch score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutton Utd | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| AFC Hornchurch | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sutton Utd sit 11th in National League (24 points from 16 matches) and AFC Hornchurch sit 15th (21 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sutton Utd | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 21 | 24 |
| 15 | AFC Hornchurch | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 26 | 21 |
A question about Sutton Utd vs AFC Hornchurch?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sutton Utd vs AFC Hornchurch?
- The Footlab AI model makes AFC Hornchurch the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Sutton Utd.
- Where and when is Sutton Utd vs AFC Hornchurch played?
- Sutton Utd vs AFC Hornchurch is played on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at VBS Community Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.