Kidderminster Harriers vs AFC Hornchurch: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Aggborough Stadium, Kidderminster, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Kidderminster Harriers the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for AFC Hornchurch. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kidderminster Harriers vs AFC Hornchurch?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Kidderminster Harriers (2,000) and AFC Hornchurch (1,921).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kidderminster Harriers have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; AFC Hornchurch have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 1-1 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AFC Hornchurch(away) | 0-3 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Alvechurch(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Carlisle(away) | 1-4 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Norwich City U21(home) | 1-2 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barrow(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Coventry City U21(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Kidderminster Harriers win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 AFC Hornchurch win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | AFC Hornchurch 3-0 Kidderminster Harriers | National League |
Last archived meeting: AFC Hornchurch vs Kidderminster Harriers on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kidderminster Harriers score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Hornchurch score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kidderminster Harriers | 2.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| AFC Hornchurch | 2.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kidderminster Harriers sit 15th in National League (4 points from 3 matches) and AFC Hornchurch sit 7th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | AFC Hornchurch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 15 | Kidderminster Harriers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kidderminster Harriers vs AFC Hornchurch?
- The Footlab model makes Kidderminster Harriers the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for AFC Hornchurch.
- Where and when is Kidderminster Harriers vs AFC Hornchurch played?
- Kidderminster Harriers vs AFC Hornchurch is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Aggborough Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.