Kidderminster Harriers vs Harrogate Town: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Aggborough Stadium, Kidderminster, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Kidderminster Harriers the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Harrogate Town. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kidderminster Harriers vs Harrogate Town?
Kidderminster Harriers starts as the favourite with a 261-point Elo edge (1,963 vs 1,702).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kidderminster Harriers have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Harrogate Town have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 1-1 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AFC Hornchurch(away) | 0-3 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Alvechurch(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 2-2 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wealdstone(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Solihull Moors(home) | 5-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Kidderminster Harriers score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Harrogate Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kidderminster Harriers | 2.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Harrogate Town | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kidderminster Harriers sit 15th in National League (4 points from 3 matches) and Harrogate Town sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Harrogate Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 7 |
| 15 | Kidderminster Harriers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kidderminster Harriers vs Harrogate Town?
- The Footlab model makes Kidderminster Harriers the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Harrogate Town.
- Where and when is Kidderminster Harriers vs Harrogate Town played?
- Kidderminster Harriers vs Harrogate Town is played on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Aggborough Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.