SV Babelsberg 03 vs BSG Chemie Leipzig: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 18Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Karl-Liebknecht-Stadion, Potsdam
The Footlab model makes SV Babelsberg 03 the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for BSG Chemie Leipzig. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SV Babelsberg 03 vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate SV Babelsberg 03 (1,863) and BSG Chemie Leipzig (1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Babelsberg 03 have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; BSG Chemie Leipzig have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Altglienicke(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 SV Babelsberg 03 win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 BSG Chemie Leipzig win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 0-2 SV Babelsberg 03 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 27, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03 5-0 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 22, 2025 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 2-3 SV Babelsberg 03 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Dec 8, 2024 | SV Babelsberg 03 3-1 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 27, 2024 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 1-1 SV Babelsberg 03 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Apr 26, 2024 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 0-0 SV Babelsberg 03 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: BSG Chemie Leipzig vs SV Babelsberg 03 on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SV Babelsberg 03 score 2.8 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; BSG Chemie Leipzig score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Babelsberg 03 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| BSG Chemie Leipzig | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SV Babelsberg 03 sit 13th in Regionalliga - Nordost (5 points from 5 matches) and BSG Chemie Leipzig sit 18th (1 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | SV Babelsberg 03 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 |
| 18 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SV Babelsberg 03 vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?
- The Footlab model makes SV Babelsberg 03 the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for BSG Chemie Leipzig.
- Where and when is SV Babelsberg 03 vs BSG Chemie Leipzig played?
- SV Babelsberg 03 vs BSG Chemie Leipzig is played on November 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Karl-Liebknecht-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 29, 2026FSV ZwickauvsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Nov 29, 2026Hallescher FCvsGreifswalder FC
- Nov 29, 2026Chemnitzer FCvsHertha BSC II
- Nov 29, 2026BFC DynamovsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- Nov 29, 2026AltglienickevsErzgebirge Aue
- Nov 29, 2026Lokomotive LeipzigvsLuckenwalde
- Nov 29, 2026Tasmania BerlinvsMagdeburg II
- Nov 29, 2026RSV EintrachtvsBFC Preussen