Tasmania Berlin vs Magdeburg II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 18Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Magdeburg II the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Tasmania Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tasmania Berlin vs Magdeburg II?
Magdeburg II starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,921 vs 1,818).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tasmania Berlin have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Magdeburg II have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Luckenwalde(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 0-6 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-5 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(home) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Luckenwalde(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Tasmania Berlin win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Magdeburg II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Magdeburg II 5-1 Tasmania Berlin | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Magdeburg II vs Tasmania Berlin on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tasmania Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Magdeburg II score 2.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tasmania Berlin | 2.3 | 2.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Magdeburg II | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tasmania Berlin sit 16th in Regionalliga - Nordost (3 points from 5 matches) and Magdeburg II sit 4th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Magdeburg II | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 10 |
| 16 | Tasmania Berlin | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tasmania Berlin vs Magdeburg II?
- The Footlab model makes Magdeburg II the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Tasmania Berlin.
- Where and when is Tasmania Berlin vs Magdeburg II played?
- Tasmania Berlin vs Magdeburg II is played on November 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 29, 2026FSV ZwickauvsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Nov 29, 2026Hallescher FCvsGreifswalder FC
- Nov 29, 2026Chemnitzer FCvsHertha BSC II
- Nov 29, 2026SV Babelsberg 03vsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Nov 29, 2026BFC DynamovsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- Nov 29, 2026AltglienickevsErzgebirge Aue
- Nov 29, 2026Lokomotive LeipzigvsLuckenwalde
- Nov 29, 2026RSV EintrachtvsBFC Preussen