Match

Tasmania Berlin vs Magdeburg II: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 18Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, Berlin

Tasmania BerlinMagdeburg II

The Footlab model makes Magdeburg II the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Tasmania Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tasmania Berlin vs Magdeburg II?

Magdeburg II starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,921 vs 1,818).

Tasmania Berlin win33 %
Draw25 %
Magdeburg II win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tasmania Berlin have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Magdeburg II have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tasmania Berlin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig(home)2-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026Luckenwalde(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)0-6Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026Erzgebirge Aue(home)0-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 25, 2026Magdeburg II(away)1-5Regionalliga - Nordost
Magdeburg II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026BSG Chemie Leipzig(home)1-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 15, 2026FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)1-4Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 11, 2026SV Babelsberg 03(home)3-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026Luckenwalde(home)0-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 2, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig(away)3-3Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Tasmania Berlin win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Magdeburg II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 25, 2026Magdeburg II 5-1 Tasmania BerlinRegionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: Magdeburg II vs Tasmania Berlin on Jul 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tasmania Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Magdeburg II score 2.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tasmania Berlin2.32.539/1512/15
Magdeburg II2.32.0212/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tasmania Berlin sit 16th in Regionalliga - Nordost (3 points from 5 matches) and Magdeburg II sit 4th (10 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Magdeburg II6312131010
16Tasmania Berlin51046183

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tasmania Berlin vs Magdeburg II?
The Footlab model makes Magdeburg II the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Tasmania Berlin.
Where and when is Tasmania Berlin vs Magdeburg II played?
Tasmania Berlin vs Magdeburg II is played on November 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Tasmania Berlin and Magdeburg II

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