Match

Lokomotive Leipzig vs Luckenwalde: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 18Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bruno-Plache-Stadion, Leipzig

Lokomotive LeipzigLuckenwalde

The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Luckenwalde. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lokomotive Leipzig vs Luckenwalde?

Lokomotive Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 205-point Elo edge (1,989 vs 1,784).

Lokomotive Leipzig win61 %
Draw23 %
Luckenwalde win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotive Leipzig have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Luckenwalde have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lokomotive Leipzig
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Chemnitzer FC(home)0-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 16, 2026Tasmania Berlin(away)3-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026Hertha BSC II(home)1-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026BFC Preussen(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 2, 2026Magdeburg II(home)3-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Luckenwalde
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(home)0-5Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 14, 2026FSV Zwickau(away)1-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026Tasmania Berlin(home)1-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026Magdeburg II(away)1-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026RSV Eintracht(away)0-3Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lokomotive Leipzig win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Luckenwalde win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 24, 2026Luckenwalde 1-3 Lokomotive LeipzigRegionalliga - Nordost
Feb 28, 2026Luckenwalde 0-3 Lokomotive LeipzigRegionalliga - Nordost
Sep 13, 2025Lokomotive Leipzig 4-0 LuckenwaldeRegionalliga - Nordost
Dec 14, 2024Luckenwalde 2-2 Lokomotive LeipzigRegionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2024Lokomotive Leipzig 1-1 LuckenwaldeRegionalliga - Nordost
Mar 17, 2024Lokomotive Leipzig 1-1 LuckenwaldeRegionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: Luckenwalde vs Lokomotive Leipzig on Jul 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lokomotive Leipzig score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Luckenwalde score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lokomotive Leipzig1.81.7211/1510/15
Luckenwalde0.91.738/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lokomotive Leipzig sit 4th in Regionalliga - Nordost (10 points from 5 matches) and Luckenwalde sit 15th (3 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Lokomotive Leipzig531112910
15Luckenwalde51045113

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lokomotive Leipzig vs Luckenwalde?
The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Luckenwalde.
Where and when is Lokomotive Leipzig vs Luckenwalde played?
Lokomotive Leipzig vs Luckenwalde is played on November 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Bruno-Plache-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Lokomotive Leipzig and Luckenwalde

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