Lokomotive Leipzig vs Luckenwalde: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 18Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bruno-Plache-Stadion, Leipzig
The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Luckenwalde. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotive Leipzig vs Luckenwalde?
Lokomotive Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 205-point Elo edge (1,989 vs 1,784).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotive Leipzig have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Luckenwalde have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | BFC Preussen(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Magdeburg II(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(home) | 0-5 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lokomotive Leipzig win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Luckenwalde win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | Luckenwalde 1-3 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Luckenwalde 0-3 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Lokomotive Leipzig 4-0 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Luckenwalde 2-2 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2024 | Lokomotive Leipzig 1-1 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Lokomotive Leipzig 1-1 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Luckenwalde vs Lokomotive Leipzig on Jul 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotive Leipzig score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Luckenwalde score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotive Leipzig | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Luckenwalde | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotive Leipzig sit 4th in Regionalliga - Nordost (10 points from 5 matches) and Luckenwalde sit 15th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 10 |
| 15 | Luckenwalde | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotive Leipzig vs Luckenwalde?
- The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Luckenwalde.
- Where and when is Lokomotive Leipzig vs Luckenwalde played?
- Lokomotive Leipzig vs Luckenwalde is played on November 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Bruno-Plache-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 29, 2026FSV ZwickauvsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Nov 29, 2026Hallescher FCvsGreifswalder FC
- Nov 29, 2026Chemnitzer FCvsHertha BSC II
- Nov 29, 2026SV Babelsberg 03vsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Nov 29, 2026BFC DynamovsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- Nov 29, 2026AltglienickevsErzgebirge Aue
- Nov 29, 2026Tasmania BerlinvsMagdeburg II
- Nov 29, 2026RSV EintrachtvsBFC Preussen