SV Drochtersen/Assel vs St. Pauli II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 10Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Kehdinger Stadion, Drochtersen
The Footlab model makes SV Drochtersen/Assel the favourite at 78%, against 13% for a draw and 9% for St. Pauli II. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SV Drochtersen/Assel vs St. Pauli II?
SV Drochtersen/Assel starts as the favourite with a 270-point Elo edge (2,031 vs 1,761).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Drochtersen/Assel have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; St. Pauli II have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hamburger SV II(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hannover 96 II(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Paderborn II(away) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bremer SV(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Todesfelde(away) | 4-6 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 SV Drochtersen/Assel win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 St. Pauli II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | St. Pauli II 2-4 SV Drochtersen/Assel | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 9, 2025 | SV Drochtersen/Assel 2-1 St. Pauli II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 27, 2025 | St. Pauli II 0-5 SV Drochtersen/Assel | Regionalliga - Nord |
| May 11, 2025 | St. Pauli II 3-4 SV Drochtersen/Assel | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 25, 2024 | SV Drochtersen/Assel 1-0 St. Pauli II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Apr 21, 2024 | St. Pauli II 1-2 SV Drochtersen/Assel | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: St. Pauli II vs SV Drochtersen/Assel on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SV Drochtersen/Assel score 2.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; St. Pauli II score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Drochtersen/Assel | 2.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
| St. Pauli II | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SV Drochtersen/Assel sit 8th in Regionalliga - Nord (6 points from 4 matches) and St. Pauli II sit 14th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | SV Drochtersen/Assel | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 14 | St. Pauli II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SV Drochtersen/Assel vs St. Pauli II?
- The Footlab model makes SV Drochtersen/Assel the favourite at 78%, against 13% for a draw and 9% for St. Pauli II.
- Where and when is SV Drochtersen/Assel vs St. Pauli II played?
- SV Drochtersen/Assel vs St. Pauli II is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Kehdinger Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026VfB LübeckvsBremer SV
- Sep 19, 2026Eintracht NorderstedtvsWerder Bremen II
- Sep 19, 2026Weiche FlensburgvsPhönix Lübeck
- Sep 19, 2026Atlas DelmenhorstvsEimsbütteler TV
- Sep 19, 2026HSC HannovervsHamburger SV II
- Sep 19, 2026Hannover 96 IIvsTodesfelde
- Sep 19, 2026VfB OldenburgvsSSV Jeddeloh
- Sep 19, 2026Kickers EmdenvsSchöningen