Match

SV Drochtersen/Assel vs St. Pauli II: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordNorth - 10Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Kehdinger Stadion, Drochtersen

SV Drochtersen/AsselSt. Pauli II

The Footlab model makes SV Drochtersen/Assel the favourite at 78%, against 13% for a draw and 9% for St. Pauli II. The most likely score is 3-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SV Drochtersen/Assel vs St. Pauli II?

SV Drochtersen/Assel starts as the favourite with a 270-point Elo edge (2,031 vs 1,761).

SV Drochtersen/Assel win78 %
Draw13 %
St. Pauli II win9 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Drochtersen/Assel have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; St. Pauli II have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SV Drochtersen/Assel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Hamburger SV II(away)4-1Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026Hannover 96 II(home)1-2Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 7, 2026VfB Oldenburg(away)1-3Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 31, 2026Phönix Lübeck(home)2-1Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 18, 2026Paderborn II(away)5-0Friendlies Clubs
St. Pauli II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Werder Bremen II(home)2-1Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026SSV Jeddeloh(away)0-2Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 9, 2026Bremer SV(home)0-1Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 2, 2026Todesfelde(away)4-6Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 26, 2026Eintracht Norderstedt(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 6 SV Drochtersen/Assel win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 St. Pauli II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 22, 2026St. Pauli II 2-4 SV Drochtersen/AsselFriendlies Clubs
Nov 9, 2025SV Drochtersen/Assel 2-1 St. Pauli IIRegionalliga - Nord
Jul 27, 2025St. Pauli II 0-5 SV Drochtersen/AsselRegionalliga - Nord
May 11, 2025St. Pauli II 3-4 SV Drochtersen/AsselRegionalliga - Nord
Oct 25, 2024SV Drochtersen/Assel 1-0 St. Pauli IIRegionalliga - Nord
Apr 21, 2024St. Pauli II 1-2 SV Drochtersen/AsselRegionalliga - Nord

Last archived meeting: St. Pauli II vs SV Drochtersen/Assel on Feb 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SV Drochtersen/Assel score 2.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; St. Pauli II score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SV Drochtersen/Assel2.41.5213/1514/15
St. Pauli II1.21.9110/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SV Drochtersen/Assel sit 8th in Regionalliga - Nord (6 points from 4 matches) and St. Pauli II sit 14th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8SV Drochtersen/Assel4202876
14St. Pauli II41036103

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SV Drochtersen/Assel vs St. Pauli II?
The Footlab model makes SV Drochtersen/Assel the favourite at 78%, against 13% for a draw and 9% for St. Pauli II.
Where and when is SV Drochtersen/Assel vs St. Pauli II played?
SV Drochtersen/Assel vs St. Pauli II is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Kehdinger Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: SV Drochtersen/Assel and St. Pauli II

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