Match

VfB Lübeck vs Bremer SV: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordNorth - 10Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Dietmar-Scholze-Stadion an der Lohmühle, Lübeck

VfB LübeckBremer SV

The Footlab model makes VfB Lübeck the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Bremer SV. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfB Lübeck vs Bremer SV?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate VfB Lübeck (1,896) and Bremer SV (1,870).

VfB Lübeck win41 %
Draw27 %
Bremer SV win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Lübeck have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Bremer SV have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfB Lübeck
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Phönix Lübeck(away)0-4Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 11, 2026VfB Oldenburg(home)1-1Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 8, 2026Atlas Delmenhorst(away)0-2Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 4, 2026Phönix L. II(home)3-1Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein
Aug 1, 2026Heider SV(away)3-1Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein
Bremer SV
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026HSC Hannover(home)0-1Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026Phönix Lübeck(home)0-0Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 9, 2026St. Pauli II(away)1-0Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 1, 2026Hannover 96 II(home)0-3Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 26, 2026Verl(away)1-6Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 VfB Lübeck win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Bremer SV win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 9, 2025Bremer SV 2-3 VfB LübeckRegionalliga - Nord
Jul 26, 2025VfB Lübeck 2-0 Bremer SVRegionalliga - Nord
Mar 2, 2025Bremer SV 0-1 VfB LübeckRegionalliga - Nord
Aug 31, 2024VfB Lübeck 1-4 Bremer SVRegionalliga - Nord
Dec 10, 2022VfB Lübeck 4-1 Bremer SVRegionalliga - Nord
Aug 14, 2022Bremer SV 1-3 VfB LübeckRegionalliga - Nord

Last archived meeting: Bremer SV vs VfB Lübeck on Nov 9, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

VfB Lübeck score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bremer SV score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
VfB Lübeck1.31.329/156/15
Bremer SV1.21.357/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfB Lübeck sit 16th in Regionalliga - Nord (2 points from 4 matches) and Bremer SV sit 12th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Bremer SV4112144
16VfB Lübeck4022282

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfB Lübeck vs Bremer SV?
The Footlab model makes VfB Lübeck the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Bremer SV.
Where and when is VfB Lübeck vs Bremer SV played?
VfB Lübeck vs Bremer SV is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Dietmar-Scholze-Stadion an der Lohmühle, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: VfB Lübeck and Bremer SV

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