VfB Lübeck vs Bremer SV: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 10Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Dietmar-Scholze-Stadion an der Lohmühle, Lübeck
The Footlab model makes VfB Lübeck the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Bremer SV. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfB Lübeck vs Bremer SV?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate VfB Lübeck (1,896) and Bremer SV (1,870).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Lübeck have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Bremer SV have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck(away) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 11, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlas Delmenhorst(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Phönix L. II(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Heider SV(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | HSC Hannover(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | St. Pauli II(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hannover 96 II(home) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Verl(away) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 VfB Lübeck win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Bremer SV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | Bremer SV 2-3 VfB Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 26, 2025 | VfB Lübeck 2-0 Bremer SV | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Bremer SV 0-1 VfB Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 31, 2024 | VfB Lübeck 1-4 Bremer SV | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Dec 10, 2022 | VfB Lübeck 4-1 Bremer SV | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Bremer SV 1-3 VfB Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: Bremer SV vs VfB Lübeck on Nov 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
VfB Lübeck score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bremer SV score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Lübeck | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Bremer SV | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfB Lübeck sit 16th in Regionalliga - Nord (2 points from 4 matches) and Bremer SV sit 12th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bremer SV | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 16 | VfB Lübeck | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfB Lübeck vs Bremer SV?
- The Footlab model makes VfB Lübeck the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Bremer SV.
- Where and when is VfB Lübeck vs Bremer SV played?
- VfB Lübeck vs Bremer SV is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Dietmar-Scholze-Stadion an der Lohmühle, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026SV Drochtersen/AsselvsSt. Pauli II
- Sep 19, 2026Eintracht NorderstedtvsWerder Bremen II
- Sep 19, 2026Weiche FlensburgvsPhönix Lübeck
- Sep 19, 2026Atlas DelmenhorstvsEimsbütteler TV
- Sep 19, 2026HSC HannovervsHamburger SV II
- Sep 19, 2026Hannover 96 IIvsTodesfelde
- Sep 19, 2026VfB OldenburgvsSSV Jeddeloh
- Sep 19, 2026Kickers EmdenvsSchöningen