Svoboda vs Izola: prediction and stats
3. SNL - WestWest - 11Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Športni park Svoboda, Ljubljana
The Footlab model makes Izola the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Svoboda. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Svoboda vs Izola?
Izola starts as the favourite with a 224-point Elo edge (1,587 vs 1,363).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Svoboda have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Izola have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Šobec Lesce(away) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zidgrad Idrija(home) | 0-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | Škofja Loka(home) | 2-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 16, 2026 | IB 1975 Ljubljana(away) | 0-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 9, 2026 | Izola(home) | 2-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Adria(away) | 4-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Litija(home) | 4-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | Šencur(away) | 3-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 17, 2026 | Šobec Lesce(home) | 2-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 9, 2026 | Svoboda(away) | 2-2 | 3. SNL - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Svoboda win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Izola win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Svoboda 2-2 Izola | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Izola 2-1 Svoboda | 3. SNL - West |
| May 15, 2021 | Izola 2-1 Svoboda | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 3, 2020 | Izola 3-0 Svoboda | 3. SNL - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Svoboda score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Izola score 2.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svoboda | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Izola | 2.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Svoboda sit 10th in 3. SNL - West (1 points from 2 matches) and Izola sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Izola | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | Svoboda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Svoboda vs Izola?
- The Footlab model makes Izola the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Svoboda.
- Where and when is Svoboda vs Izola played?
- Svoboda vs Izola is played on October 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Športni park Svoboda, in the 3. SNL - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.