Litija vs Tolmin: prediction and stats
3. SNL - WestWest - 11Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Litija the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Tolmin. The most likely score is 1-1. If Litija wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Litija vs Tolmin?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Litija (1,501) and Tolmin (1,521).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Litija vs Tolmin
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Litija
Not enough data to predict the Litija lineup.
Tolmin
Not enough data to predict the Tolmin lineup.
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Litija have 7 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Tolmin have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Vipava(away) | 4-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Adria(home) | 3-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 19, 2026 | IB 1975 Ljubljana(away) | 3-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Šobec Lesce(away) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Zidgrad Idrija(home) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Svoboda(home) | 2-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rudar Trbovlje(home) | 5-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Izola(home) | 0-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Žiri(away) | 4-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Škofja Loka(home) | 2-2 | 3. SNL - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Litija score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 14; Tolmin score 2.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Litija | 1.6 | 1.5 | 7 | 3/14 | 9/14 |
| Tolmin | 2.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Litija sit 6th in 3. SNL - West (14 points from 8 matches) and Tolmin sit 4th (15 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tolmin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 15 |
| 6 | Litija | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 14 |
A question about Litija vs Tolmin?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Litija vs Tolmin?
- The Footlab AI model makes Litija the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Tolmin.
- Where and when is Litija vs Tolmin played?
- Litija vs Tolmin is played on October 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the 3. SNL - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.