Zidgrad Idrija vs Žiri: prediction and stats
3. SNL - WestWest - 11Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Zidgrad Idrija the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Žiri. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zidgrad Idrija vs Žiri?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Zidgrad Idrija (1,369) and Žiri (1,377).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zidgrad Idrija have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Žiri have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | IB 1975 Ljubljana(away) | 2-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Svoboda(away) | 1-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | Bistrc(away) | 3-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 17, 2026 | Žiri(home) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 9, 2026 | Tolmin(away) | 0-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vipava(away) | 3-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Adria(home) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | Tolmin(home) | 0-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 17, 2026 | Zidgrad Idrija(away) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 10, 2026 | Škofja Loka(home) | 0-4 | 3. SNL - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Zidgrad Idrija win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Žiri win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Zidgrad Idrija 0-0 Žiri | 3. SNL - West |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Žiri 2-1 Zidgrad Idrija | 3. SNL - West |
Last archived meeting: Zidgrad Idrija vs Žiri on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zidgrad Idrija score 0.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Žiri score 1.2 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zidgrad Idrija | 0.9 | 2.0 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Žiri | 1.2 | 2.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zidgrad Idrija sit 2nd in 3. SNL - West (6 points from 2 matches) and Žiri sit 5th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Zidgrad Idrija | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Žiri | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zidgrad Idrija vs Žiri?
- The Footlab model makes Zidgrad Idrija the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Žiri.
- Where and when is Zidgrad Idrija vs Žiri played?
- Zidgrad Idrija vs Žiri is played on October 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the 3. SNL - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.