Match

Šobec Lesce vs Škofja Loka: prediction and stats

3. SNL - WestWest - 11Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Štadion Na Žagi, Lesce

Šobec LesceŠkofja Loka

The Footlab model makes Šobec Lesce the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Škofja Loka. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Šobec Lesce vs Škofja Loka?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Šobec Lesce (1,388) and Škofja Loka (1,371).

Šobec Lesce win50 %
Draw25 %
Škofja Loka win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Šobec Lesce have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Škofja Loka have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Šobec Lesce
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Svoboda(home)1-13. SNL - West
Aug 15, 2026Rudar Trbovlje(away)0-03. SNL - West
May 23, 2026IB 1975 Ljubljana(home)4-13. SNL - West
May 17, 2026Izola(away)1-23. SNL - West
May 9, 2026Dren Vrhnika(home)1-53. SNL - West
Škofja Loka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dob(away)0-43. SNL - West
Aug 15, 2026Vipava(home)5-03. SNL - West
May 23, 2026Svoboda(away)1-23. SNL - West
May 16, 2026Bistrc(home)3-43. SNL - West
May 10, 2026Žiri(away)4-03. SNL - West

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Šobec Lesce win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Škofja Loka win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 15, 2025Škofja Loka 0-0 Šobec Lesce3. SNL - West
Aug 16, 2025Šobec Lesce 1-0 Škofja Loka3. SNL - West
Jun 9, 2021Šobec Lesce 2-2 Škofja Loka3. SNL - West
Sep 12, 2020Šobec Lesce 1-0 Škofja Loka3. SNL - West

Last archived meeting: Škofja Loka vs Šobec Lesce on Nov 15, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Šobec Lesce score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Škofja Loka score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Šobec Lesce1.21.349/157/15
Škofja Loka1.71.8310/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Šobec Lesce sit 9th in 3. SNL - West (2 points from 2 matches) and Škofja Loka sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Škofja Loka2101543
9Šobec Lesce2020112

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Šobec Lesce vs Škofja Loka?
The Footlab model makes Šobec Lesce the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Škofja Loka.
Where and when is Šobec Lesce vs Škofja Loka played?
Šobec Lesce vs Škofja Loka is played on October 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Štadion Na Žagi, in the 3. SNL - West.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Šobec Lesce and Škofja Loka

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