Swansea vs Derby: result 1-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 40Kick-off on April 5, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Full time
What was the result of Swansea vs Derby?
Swansea won 1-0 on April 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 79′Eom Ji-SungSwansea
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swansea have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Derby have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Leeds(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Burnley(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Watford(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Middlesbrough(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Preston(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | Preston(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Plymouth(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Coventry(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Blackburn(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Middlesbrough(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Swansea win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | Derby 1-2 Swansea | Championship |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Swansea 2-1 Derby | Championship |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Derby 0-0 Swansea | Championship |
| May 1, 2021 | Swansea 2-1 Derby | Championship |
| Dec 16, 2020 | Derby 2-0 Swansea | Championship |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Swansea 2-3 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Swansea score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 0.8 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 0.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Derby | 0.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swansea sit 8th in Championship (3 points from 1 matches) and Derby sit 17th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Swansea | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Derby | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy