Swindon Town vs Crystal Palace U21: prediction and stats
EFL TrophyGroup South - 5Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)The County Ground, Swindon, Wiltshire
The Footlab model makes Swindon Town the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Crystal Palace U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Swindon Town vs Crystal Palace U21?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Swindon Town (1,793) and Crystal Palace U21 (1,851).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swindon Town have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Crystal Palace U21 have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cheltenham(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Northampton(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Leyton Orient(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Arsenal U21(away) | 1-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| May 4, 2026 | Manchester United U21(home) | 0-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Liverpool U21(away) | 2-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Arsenal U21(home) | 2-0 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U21(away) | 0-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Swindon Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Crystal Palace U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2022 | Swindon Town 0-2 Crystal Palace U21 | EFL Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Swindon Town vs Crystal Palace U21 on Aug 30, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Swindon Town score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Crystal Palace U21 score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swindon Town | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Crystal Palace U21 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swindon Town sit 1st in EFL Trophy (6 points from 3 matches) and Crystal Palace U21 sit 4th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swindon Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Crystal Palace U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Swindon Town vs Crystal Palace U21?
- The Footlab model makes Swindon Town the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Crystal Palace U21.
- Where and when is Swindon Town vs Crystal Palace U21 played?
- Swindon Town vs Crystal Palace U21 is played on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at The County Ground, in the EFL Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.