Switzerland vs FYR Macedonia: prediction and stats
UEFA Nations League4Kick-off on October 6, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)kybunpark, St. Gallen
The Footlab model makes Switzerland the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for FYR Macedonia. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Switzerland vs FYR Macedonia?
Switzerland starts as the favourite with a 218-point Elo edge (1,731 vs 1,513).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Switzerland have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; FYR Macedonia have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2026 | Canada(home) | 2-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(home) | 4-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Qatar(away) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Australia(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| May 31, 2026 | Jordan(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2026 | Türkiye(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| May 29, 2026 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Rep. Of Ireland(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Denmark(away) | 0-4 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Wales(away) | 1-7 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
How many goals should we expect?
Switzerland score 2.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; FYR Macedonia score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Switzerland | 2.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| FYR Macedonia | 1.0 | 1.3 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Switzerland vs FYR Macedonia?
- The Footlab model makes Switzerland the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for FYR Macedonia.
- Where and when is Switzerland vs FYR Macedonia played?
- Switzerland vs FYR Macedonia is played on October 6, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at kybunpark, in the UEFA Nations League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.