Tallinna Kalev II vs Luunja: prediction and stats
Esiliiga BRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Kalevi Keskstaadioni kunstmuru, Tallinn
The Footlab model makes Tallinna Kalev II the favourite at 43%, against 21% for a draw and 36% for Luunja. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tallinna Kalev II vs Luunja?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Tallinna Kalev II (1,181) and Luunja (1,194).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tallinna Kalev II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Luunja have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Legion(home) | 3-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | JK Tabasalu(away) | 1-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Johvi Phoenix(home) | 3-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Narva U21(away) | 0-5 | Esiliiga B |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Rakvere FC Freedom(home) | 4-2 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Johvi Phoenix(home) | 2-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Tartu Kalev(away) | 1-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21(home) | 2-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tulevik(away) | 0-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev II(home) | 5-4 | Esiliiga B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tallinna Kalev II win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Luunja win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2026 | Luunja 5-4 Tallinna Kalev II | Esiliiga B |
| May 28, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev II 0-1 Luunja | Esiliiga B |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Luunja 3-2 Tallinna Kalev II | Esiliiga B |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Luunja 4-5 Tallinna Kalev II | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Tallinna Kalev II 5-0 Luunja | Esiliiga A |
| May 25, 2025 | Tallinna Kalev II 6-1 Luunja | Esiliiga A |
Last archived meeting: Luunja vs Tallinna Kalev II on Jul 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tallinna Kalev II score 2.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Luunja score 2.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tallinna Kalev II | 2.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Luunja | 2.7 | 1.8 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tallinna Kalev II sit 9th in Esiliiga B (19 points from 24 matches) and Luunja sit 3rd (44 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Luunja | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 67 | 51 | 44 |
| 9 | Tallinna Kalev II | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 49 | 61 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tallinna Kalev II vs Luunja?
- The Footlab model makes Tallinna Kalev II the favourite at 43%, against 21% for a draw and 36% for Luunja.
- Where and when is Tallinna Kalev II vs Luunja played?
- Tallinna Kalev II vs Luunja is played on October 25, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Kalevi Keskstaadioni kunstmuru, in the Esiliiga B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.