Narva U21 vs Tulevik: prediction and stats
Esiliiga BRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Kalevi Staadion, Narva
The Footlab model makes Narva U21 the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 15% for Tulevik. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Narva U21 vs Tulevik?
Narva U21 starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,344 vs 1,197).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Narva U21 have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Tulevik have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Tulevik(away) | 3-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Levadia U19(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Johvi Phoenix(home) | 1-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Legion(away) | 3-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev II(home) | 5-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Narva U21(home) | 3-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21(away) | 2-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Levadia U19(home) | 1-4 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tartu Kalev(away) | 2-4 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Luunja(home) | 0-0 | Esiliiga B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Narva U21 win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Tulevik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Tulevik 3-3 Narva U21 | Esiliiga B |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Narva U21 2-1 Tulevik | Esiliiga B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Tulevik 0-1 Narva U21 | Esiliiga B |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Narva U21 4-2 Tulevik | Esiliiga B |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Tulevik 1-1 Narva U21 | Esiliiga B |
| May 30, 2024 | Tulevik 3-1 Narva U21 | Esiliiga B |
How many goals should we expect?
Narva U21 score 2.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Tulevik score 1.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Narva U21 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Tulevik | 1.9 | 2.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Narva U21 sit 2nd in Esiliiga B (45 points from 24 matches) and Tulevik sit 6th (38 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Narva U21 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 60 | 34 | 45 |
| 6 | Tulevik | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 63 | 52 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Narva U21 vs Tulevik?
- The Footlab model makes Narva U21 the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 15% for Tulevik.
- Where and when is Narva U21 vs Tulevik played?
- Narva U21 vs Tulevik is played on October 25, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Kalevi Staadion, in the Esiliiga B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.