Levadia U19 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21: prediction and stats
Esiliiga BRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Levadia U19 the favourite at 59%, against 19% for a draw and 22% for Parnu JK Vaprus U21. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Levadia U19 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Levadia U19 (1,317) and Parnu JK Vaprus U21 (1,238).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Levadia U19 have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Parnu JK Vaprus U21 have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Legion(home) | 1-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Narva U21(home) | 1-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tulevik(away) | 4-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | JK Tabasalu(home) | 3-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21(away) | 3-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | JK Tabasalu(home) | 6-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Tulevik(home) | 2-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tartu Kalev(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Luunja(away) | 2-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Levadia U19(home) | 2-3 | Esiliiga B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Levadia U19 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21 2-3 Levadia U19 | Esiliiga B |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21 4-2 Levadia U19 | Esiliiga B |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Levadia U19 2-0 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | Esiliiga B |
Last archived meeting: Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Levadia U19 on Aug 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Levadia U19 score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Parnu JK Vaprus U21 score 2.5 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levadia U19 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Levadia U19 sit 1st in Esiliiga B (47 points from 25 matches) and Parnu JK Vaprus U21 sit 7th (37 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levadia U19 | 25 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 60 | 42 | 47 |
| 7 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 69 | 54 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Levadia U19 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21?
- The Footlab model makes Levadia U19 the favourite at 59%, against 19% for a draw and 22% for Parnu JK Vaprus U21.
- Where and when is Levadia U19 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21 played?
- Levadia U19 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21 is played on October 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Esiliiga B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.