Tallinna Kalev vs FCI Levadia II: prediction and stats
Esiliiga ARegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC)Kadrioru staadion, Tallinn
The Footlab model makes Tallinna Kalev the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for FCI Levadia II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tallinna Kalev vs FCI Levadia II?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Tallinna Kalev (1,368) and FCI Levadia II (1,314).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tallinna Kalev have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; FCI Levadia II have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Maardu(home) | 1-3 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Nõmme Kalju II(away) | 3-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Elva(home) | 1-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Tartu Kalev(home) | 8-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Tallinn(home) | 1-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Tallinn(home) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Tartu Welco(away) | 2-4 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Viimsi(away) | 0-5 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nõmme United II(away) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Elva(home) | 2-2 | Esiliiga A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Tallinna Kalev win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 FCI Levadia II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | FCI Levadia II 3-2 Tallinna Kalev | Esiliiga A |
| May 31, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev 1-2 FCI Levadia II | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 23, 2026 | FCI Levadia II 3-2 Tallinna Kalev | Esiliiga A |
| Feb 21, 2026 | FCI Levadia II 1-4 Tallinna Kalev | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 11, 2021 | Tallinna Kalev 2-2 FCI Levadia II | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 20, 2021 | Tallinna Kalev 5-0 FCI Levadia II | Esiliiga A |
Last archived meeting: FCI Levadia II vs Tallinna Kalev on Jul 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tallinna Kalev score 2.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FCI Levadia II score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tallinna Kalev | 2.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| FCI Levadia II | 2.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tallinna Kalev sit 5th in Esiliiga A (18 points from 16 matches) and FCI Levadia II sit 9th (15 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Tallinna Kalev | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 32 | 18 |
| 5 | Tallinna Kalev | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 48 | 45 | 35 |
| 7 | FCI Levadia II | 25 | 11 | 1 | 13 | 47 | 48 | 34 |
| 9 | FCI Levadia II | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 26 | 33 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tallinna Kalev vs FCI Levadia II?
- The Footlab model makes Tallinna Kalev the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for FCI Levadia II.
- Where and when is Tallinna Kalev vs FCI Levadia II played?
- Tallinna Kalev vs FCI Levadia II is played on October 18, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC) at Kadrioru staadion, in the Esiliiga A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.