Match

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Brooklyn: prediction and stats

USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Al Lang Stadium, St. Petersburg, Florida

Tampa Bay RowdiesBrooklyn

The Footlab model makes Tampa Bay Rowdies the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Brooklyn. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Brooklyn?

Tampa Bay Rowdies starts as the favourite with a 207-point Elo edge (1,877 vs 1,670).

Tampa Bay Rowdies win73 %
Draw17 %
Brooklyn win10 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tampa Bay Rowdies have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Brooklyn have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tampa Bay Rowdies
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Detroit City(away)0-1USL Championship
Aug 15, 2026Rhode Island(home)2-0USL Championship
Aug 12, 2026Louisville City(home)0-0USL League One Cup
Aug 9, 2026Orange County SC(away)3-0USL Championship
Aug 2, 2026Louisville City(home)5-4USL Championship
Brooklyn
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Pittsburgh Riverhounds(home)0-1USL Championship
Aug 16, 2026Las Vegas Lights(away)1-2USL Championship
Aug 1, 2026Charleston Battery(away)0-5USL Championship
Jul 25, 2026San Antonio(home)0-1USL Championship
Jul 18, 2026Sporting JAX(away)2-2USL Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Tampa Bay Rowdies win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Brooklyn win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 20, 2026Brooklyn 0-2 Tampa Bay RowdiesUSL Championship

Last archived meeting: Brooklyn vs Tampa Bay Rowdies on Jun 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tampa Bay Rowdies score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Brooklyn score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tampa Bay Rowdies1.91.085/156/15
Brooklyn1.21.918/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tampa Bay Rowdies sit 1st in USL Championship (28 points from 13 matches) and Brooklyn sit 11th (9 points from 12 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies1384121828
1Tampa Bay Rowdies211353382044
11Brooklyn1223713229
12Brooklyn193412183513

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Brooklyn?
The Footlab model makes Tampa Bay Rowdies the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Brooklyn.
Where and when is Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Brooklyn played?
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Brooklyn is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Al Lang Stadium, in the USL Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Tampa Bay Rowdies and Brooklyn

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