Where and when is Tamworth vs Leeds United U21 played?

Tamworth vs Leeds United U21 is played on October 6, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Lamb Ground, in the National League Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tamworth vs Leeds United U21: prediction and stats

National League CupGroup StageKick-off on October 6, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Lamb Ground, Tamworth, Staffordshire

Tamworth

Leeds United U21

The Footlab model makes Tamworth the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Leeds United U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tamworth vs Leeds United U21?

A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Tamworth (1,794) and Leeds United U21 (1,727).

Tamworth win50 %

Draw22 %

Leeds United U21 win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tamworth have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Leeds United U21 have 2, 2 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tamworth
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	FC Halifax Town(away)	1-4	National League
Aug 18, 2026	Newcastle United U21(home)	5-3	National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026	AFC Fylde(home)	1-2	National League
Aug 8, 2026	Boreham Wood(away)	3-3	National League
Aug 1, 2026	AFC Telford United(away)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

Leeds United U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	West Bromwich Albion U21(home)	4-3	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026	Boreham Wood(away)	2-5	National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026	Stoke City U21(away)	0-0	Premier League Cup
Apr 13, 2026	Leicester City U21(home)	2-3	Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 3, 2026	Manchester United U21(home)	1-2	Premier League 2 Division One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Tamworth win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Leeds United U21 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 21, 2025	Tamworth 2-1 Leeds United U21	National League Cup

Last archived meeting: Tamworth vs Leeds United U21 on Jan 21, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Tamworth score 2.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Leeds United U21 score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tamworth	2.0	1.6	2	12/15	10/15
Leeds United U21	1.1	2.5	2	9/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tamworth vs Leeds United U21?: The Footlab model makes Tamworth the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Leeds United U21.
Where and when is Tamworth vs Leeds United U21 played?: Tamworth vs Leeds United U21 is played on October 6, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Lamb Ground, in the National League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.