Tapachula vs Tritons Vallarta: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico de Tapachula, Tapachula
The Footlab AI model makes Tapachula the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Tritons Vallarta. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tapachula wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,748 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tapachula vs Tritons Vallarta?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Tapachula (1,840) and Tritons Vallarta (1,849).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tapachula vs Tritons Vallarta
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tapachula
Not enough data to predict the Tapachula lineup.
Tritons Vallarta
Not enough data to predict the Tritons Vallarta lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 05:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tapachula have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Tritons Vallarta have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Montañeses(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chapulineros(home) | 2-3 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pioneros de Cancún(away) | 1-5 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(home) | 2-0 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Celaya(away) | 0-2 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Irapuato(away) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lobos ULMX(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Tigres de Alica(away) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Los Cabos United(away) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Zacatepec 1948(home) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Tapachula wins, 1 draw, 1 Tritons Vallarta win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Tapachula 1-1 Tritons Vallarta | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Tritons Vallarta 1-0 Tapachula | Liga Premier Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Tapachula vs Tritons Vallarta on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tapachula score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Tritons Vallarta score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tapachula | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Tritons Vallarta | 0.7 | 0.9 | 3 | 6/15 | 1/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tapachula sit 17th in Primera Premier (3 points from 6 matches) and Tritons Vallarta sit 18th (2 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Tapachula | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 3 |
| 18 | Tritons Vallarta | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
A question about Tapachula vs Tritons Vallarta?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tapachula vs Tritons Vallarta?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tapachula the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Tritons Vallarta.
- Where and when is Tapachula vs Tritons Vallarta played?
- Tapachula vs Tritons Vallarta is played on March 27, 2027 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico de Tapachula, in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 27, 2027ChapulinerosvsLos Cabos United
- Mar 27, 2027Racing de VeracruzvsReboceros La Piedad
- Mar 27, 2027Pioneros de CancúnvsCordobés
- Mar 27, 2027Deportiva VenadosvsLobos ULMX
- Mar 28, 2027Jaguares de ChiapasvsTigres de Alica
- Mar 28, 2027Inter Playa del CarmenvsH2O Purepechas
- Mar 28, 2027CelayavsIrapuato
- Mar 30, 2027MontañesesvsZacatepec 1948