Târgu Secuiesc vs CSM FC Vaslui: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 1Group 1 - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Doctor Sinkovits, Târgu Secuiesc
The Footlab model makes Târgu Secuiesc the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for CSM FC Vaslui. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Târgu Secuiesc vs CSM FC Vaslui?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Târgu Secuiesc (1,493) and CSM FC Vaslui (1,449).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Târgu Secuiesc have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; CSM FC Vaslui have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | CSM Adjud(away) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Bacau(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Soimii Gura Humorului(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Stiinta Miroslava(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Viitorul Onesti(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Aerostar Bacau(away) | 1-3 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | CSM Adjud(away) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Gheorgheni(home) | 1-0 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 1, 2026 | Aerostar Bacau(away) | 0-3 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | USV Iaşi(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Târgu Secuiesc score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; CSM FC Vaslui score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Târgu Secuiesc | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| CSM FC Vaslui | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSM FC Vaslui | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Târgu Secuiesc vs CSM FC Vaslui?
- The Footlab model makes Târgu Secuiesc the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for CSM FC Vaslui.
- Where and when is Târgu Secuiesc vs CSM FC Vaslui played?
- Târgu Secuiesc vs CSM FC Vaslui is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Doctor Sinkovits, in the Liga III - Serie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.