USV Iaşi vs CSM Adjud: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 1Group 1 - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul USV Iași, Iași
The Footlab model makes USV Iaşi the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for CSM Adjud. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win USV Iaşi vs CSM Adjud?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate USV Iaşi (1,380) and CSM Adjud (1,379).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, USV Iaşi have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; CSM Adjud have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sporting Lieşti(home) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Cetatea Suceava(home) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Bradul Putna(away) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Stiinta Miroslava(home) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | FC Bacău II(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sporting Lieşti(home) | 2-4 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Târgu Secuiesc(home) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Râmnicu Sărat(away) | 3-0 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | CSM FC Vaslui(home) | 1-0 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | FC Bacău II(away) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 USV Iaşi win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 CSM Adjud win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | USV Iaşi 1-1 CSM Adjud | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Nov 21, 2025 | USV Iaşi 2-1 CSM Adjud | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | CSM Adjud 3-2 USV Iaşi | Liga III - Serie 1 |
Last archived meeting: USV Iaşi vs CSM Adjud on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
USV Iaşi score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; CSM Adjud score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USV Iaşi | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| CSM Adjud | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
USV Iaşi sit 3rd in Liga III - Serie 1 (37 points from 7 matches) and CSM Adjud sit 6th (35 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | USV Iaşi | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 37 |
| 6 | CSM Adjud | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for USV Iaşi vs CSM Adjud?
- The Footlab model makes USV Iaşi the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for CSM Adjud.
- Where and when is USV Iaşi vs CSM Adjud played?
- USV Iaşi vs CSM Adjud is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul USV Iași, in the Liga III - Serie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.