USV Iaşi vs CSM Adjud: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 1Group 1 · Matchday 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul USV Iași, Iași
The Footlab AI model makes USV Iaşi the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for CSM Adjud. The most likely score is 1-1. If USV Iaşi wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,490 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win USV Iaşi vs CSM Adjud?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate USV Iaşi (1,560) and CSM Adjud (1,548).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for USV Iaşi vs CSM Adjud
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
USV Iaşi
Not enough data to predict the USV Iaşi lineup.
CSM Adjud
Not enough data to predict the CSM Adjud lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 09:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, USV Iaşi have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; CSM Adjud have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Târgu Secuiesc(away) | 3-0 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Paşcani(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Aerostar Bacau(home) | 3-3 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Odorheiu Secuiesc(away) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bradul Putna(home) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Aerostar Bacau(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Odorheiu Secuiesc(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bradul Putna(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | CSM FC Vaslui(away) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gheorgheni(home) | 4-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 USV Iaşi wins, 1 draw, 1 CSM Adjud win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | CSM Adjud 1-2 USV Iaşi | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Apr 17, 2026 | USV Iaşi 1-1 CSM Adjud | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Nov 21, 2025 | USV Iaşi 2-1 CSM Adjud | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | CSM Adjud 3-2 USV Iaşi | Liga III - Serie 1 |
Last archived meeting: CSM Adjud vs USV Iaşi on Sep 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
USV Iaşi score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; CSM Adjud score 2.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USV Iaşi | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| CSM Adjud | 2.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
USV Iaşi sit 2nd in Liga III - Serie 1 (16 points from 7 matches) and CSM Adjud sit 3rd (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | USV Iaşi | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | CSM Adjud | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 14 |
A question about USV Iaşi vs CSM Adjud?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for USV Iaşi vs CSM Adjud?
- The Footlab AI model makes USV Iaşi the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for CSM Adjud.
- Where and when is USV Iaşi vs CSM Adjud played?
- USV Iaşi vs CSM Adjud is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul USV Iași, in the Liga III - Serie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.