Tarpa vs Cigand SE: prediction and stats
NB III - NortheastNortheast - 21Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Tarpa Sportcentrum, Tarpa
The Footlab model makes Cigand SE the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Tarpa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tarpa vs Cigand SE?
Cigand SE starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,602 vs 1,441).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tarpa have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Cigand SE have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Emodi(away) | 1-1 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ózd Sajóvölgye(away) | 0-4 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | DEAC(away) | 0-4 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Eger(home) | 1-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Füzesabony(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ujdombrad SE(away) | 3-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Salgótarjáni BTC(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Ózd Sajóvölgye(away) | 2-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tiszaújváros(home) | 3-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Eger(home) | 0-1 | NB III - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Tarpa win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Cigand SE win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | Tarpa 0-0 Cigand SE | NB III - Northeast |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Cigand SE 0-0 Tarpa | NB III - Northeast |
How many goals should we expect?
Tarpa score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Cigand SE score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarpa | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Cigand SE | 2.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tarpa sit 15th in NB III - Northeast (3 points from 4 matches) and Cigand SE sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cigand SE | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 15 | Tarpa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tarpa vs Cigand SE?
- The Footlab model makes Cigand SE the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Tarpa.
- Where and when is Tarpa vs Cigand SE played?
- Tarpa vs Cigand SE is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Tarpa Sportcentrum, in the NB III - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.