Tiszafuredi VSE vs Tarpa: prediction and stats
NB III - NortheastNortheast - 22Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Lipcsey Elemér Sporttelep, Tiszafüred
The Footlab model makes Tiszafuredi VSE the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Tarpa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tiszafuredi VSE vs Tarpa?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Tiszafuredi VSE (1,498) and Tarpa (1,441).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tiszafuredi VSE have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Tarpa have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sényő Carnifex(away) | 1-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tiszaújváros(away) | 0-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eger(away) | 0-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ózd Sajóvölgye(home) | 0-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | DEAC(home) | 0-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Emodi(away) | 1-1 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ózd Sajóvölgye(away) | 0-4 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | DEAC(away) | 0-4 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Eger(home) | 1-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Füzesabony(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Tiszafuredi VSE win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Tarpa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Tarpa 0-0 Tiszafuredi VSE | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 27, 2025 | Tiszafuredi VSE 2-1 Tarpa | NB III - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Tarpa vs Tiszafuredi VSE on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tiszafuredi VSE score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tarpa score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiszafuredi VSE | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Tarpa | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tiszafuredi VSE sit 16th in NB III - Northeast (0 points from 4 matches) and Tarpa sit 15th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Tarpa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 3 |
| 16 | Tiszafuredi VSE | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tiszafuredi VSE vs Tarpa?
- The Footlab model makes Tiszafuredi VSE the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Tarpa.
- Where and when is Tiszafuredi VSE vs Tarpa played?
- Tiszafuredi VSE vs Tarpa is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Lipcsey Elemér Sporttelep, in the NB III - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.