Tarpa vs DEAC: prediction and stats
NB III - NortheastNortheast - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Tarpa Sportcentrum, Tarpa
The Footlab model makes DEAC the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Tarpa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tarpa vs DEAC?
DEAC starts as the favourite with a 236-point Elo edge (1,677 vs 1,441).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tarpa have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; DEAC have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Emodi(away) | 1-1 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ózd Sajóvölgye(away) | 0-4 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | DEAC(away) | 0-4 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Eger(home) | 1-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Füzesabony(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Albidok(away) | 5-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Debrecen II(home) | 3-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Tarpa(home) | 4-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza II(away) | 4-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Tiszafuredi VSE(away) | 2-0 | NB III - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Tarpa win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 DEAC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | DEAC 4-0 Tarpa | NB III - Northeast |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Tarpa 2-2 DEAC | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 10, 2025 | DEAC 1-0 Tarpa | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Tarpa 0-4 DEAC | Magyar Kupa |
How many goals should we expect?
Tarpa score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; DEAC score 2.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarpa | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| DEAC | 2.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tarpa sit 15th in NB III - Northeast (3 points from 4 matches) and DEAC sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DEAC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 12 |
| 15 | Tarpa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tarpa vs DEAC?
- The Footlab model makes DEAC the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Tarpa.
- Where and when is Tarpa vs DEAC played?
- Tarpa vs DEAC is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Tarpa Sportcentrum, in the NB III - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.