Tarpa vs Mátészalka: prediction and stats
NB III - NortheastNortheast - 28Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tarpa Sportcentrum, Tarpa
The Footlab AI model makes Tarpa the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Mátészalka. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tarpa wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tarpa vs Mátészalka?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Tarpa (1,390) and Mátészalka (1,330).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tarpa vs Mátészalka
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tarpa
Not enough data to predict the Tarpa lineup.
Mátészalka
Not enough data to predict the Mátészalka lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tarpa have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Mátészalka have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kisvárda II(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Northeast |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Debrecen II(home) | 1-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza II(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Salgótarjáni BTC(home) | 1-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Tiszafuredi VSE(home) | 0-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cigand SE(home) | 0-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tiszaújváros(away) | 2-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ózd Sajóvölgye(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eger(away) | 3-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kozarmisleny FC(home) | 1-3 | Magyar Kupa |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Tarpa win, 0 draws, 0 Mátészalka wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2024 | Tarpa 2-1 Mátészalka | Magyar Kupa |
How many goals should we expect?
Tarpa score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mátészalka score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarpa | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Mátészalka | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tarpa sit 15th in NB III - Northeast (6 points from 11 matches) and Mátészalka sit 9th (16 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mátészalka | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 16 |
| 15 | Tarpa | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 6 |
A question about Tarpa vs Mátészalka?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tarpa vs Mátészalka?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tarpa the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Mátészalka.
- Where and when is Tarpa vs Mátészalka played?
- Tarpa vs Mátészalka is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tarpa Sportcentrum, in the NB III - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.